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Brazil, Sao Paulo - UA lost its mind with regard to billing


coriolis888

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I often travel to Brazil and Europe.  Usually, a business class flight from the U.S. to those areas, if you search the site, is between $3,000 and $4,000. 
However, I have checked November through January of next year and found business class flights ranging near $15,000 and more than $17,000.
  
What in the world could justify increased rates that are five times more than they were just a few months ago? 
 
Here is a screen shot of one of United's Brazil fares.  The screen shot shows economy, premium economy and business class fares that all seem over priced.  
 
I do not believe people are paying that kind of money to fly business class from the U.S to Brazil.  Maybe it is just wishful thinking on the part of United Airlines.  
 
1 STOP
 
10:23 AMDeparting at 10:23 AM
Arrives Nov 10
9:30 AMArriving at 9:30 AM
LAXOrigin Los Angeles, CA, US (LAX)
18H, 7MDuration 18 hours and 7 minutes
GRUDestination Houston, TX, US (IAH)
IAHHouston, TX, US (IAH)
to
5H5 hours
 
 
DetailsSeats
Roundtrip
 
 
 
 
United Economy (V)
Roundtrip
 
 
 
 
Mixed cabin
Roundtrip
$13,470
 
 
 
 
Roundtrip
$17,000
 
 
2 tickets left at this price
 
Not available
Flight Information
 
1 STOP
 
10:25 AMDeparting at 10:25 AM
Arrives Nov 10
10:15 AMArriving at 10:15 AM
LAXOrigin Los Angeles, CA, US (LAX)
18H, 50MDuration 18 hours and 50 minutes
GRUDestination New York/Newark, NJ, US (EWR)
EWRNew York/Newark, NJ, US (EWR)
to
3H, 59M3 hours and 59 minutes
 
 
DetailsSeats
Roundtrip
$2,037
 
 
 
United Economy (U)
Roundtrip
$3,060
 
 
 
Mixed cabin
Roundtrip
$14,401
 
 
 
 
Roundtrip
$17,877
 
 
 
 
Not available
Flight Information
 
1 STOP
 
7:00 AMDeparting at 7:00 AM
Arrives Nov 10
7:15 AMArriving at 7:15 AM
LAX Origin Los Angeles, CA, US (LAX)
19H, 15MDuration 19 hours and 15 minutes
GRU Destination Chicago, IL, US (ORD)
ORDChicago, IL, US (ORD)
to
4H, 58M4 hours and 58 minutes
 
 
DetailsSeats
Roundtrip
 
 
 
 
United Economy (V)
Roundtrip
 
Mixed cabin
Roundtrip
$13,470
 
 
 
 
Roundtrip
$17,362
 
 
6 tickets left at this price
 
Not available
Flight Information
 
1 STOP
 
8:23 AMDeparting at 8:23 AM
Arrives Nov 10
9:30 AMArriving at 9:30 AM
LAXOrigin Los Angeles, CA, US (LAX)
20H, 7MDuration 20 hours and 7 minutes
GRUDestination Houston, TX, US (IAH)
IAHHouston, TX, US (IAH)
to
7H7 hours
 
 
DetailsSeats
Roundtrip
$1,565
 
 
 
United Economy (V)
Roundtrip
$2,395
 
 
 
Mixed cabin
Roundtrip
$13,470
 
 
6 tickets left at this price
 
Roundtrip
$17,877
 
 
6 tickets left at this price
 
Not available
Flight Information
 
1 STOP
 
5:30 AMDeparting at 5:30 AM
Arrives Nov 10
7:15 AMArriving at 7:15 AM
LAXOrigin Los Angeles, CA, US (LAX)
20H, 45MDuration 20 hours and 45 minutes
GRUDestination Chicago, IL, US (ORD)
ORDChicago, IL, US (ORD)
to
6H, 26M6 hours and 26 minutes
 
 
DetailsSeats
Roundtrip
$1,565
 
 
 
United Economy (V)
Roundtrip
$2,295
 
 
 
Mixed cabin
Roundtrip
$13,470
 
 
 
 
Roundtrip
$17,077
 
 
6 tickets left at this price
 
Not available
Flight Information
 
1 STOP
 
8:15 AMDeparting at 8:15 AM
Arrives Nov 10
10:15 AMArriving at 10:15 AM
LAXOrigin Los Angeles, CA, US (LAX)
21HDuration 21 hours
GRUDestination New York/Newark, NJ, US (EWR)
EWRNew York/Newark, NJ, US (EWR)
to
6H, 25M6 hours and 25 minutes
 
 
DetailsSeats
Roundtrip
$2,037
 
 
 
United Economy (U)
Roundtrip
$3,060
 
 
 
Mixed cabin
Roundtrip
$13,470
 
 
 
 
Roundtrip
$17,877
 
 
 
 
Not available
Flight Information
 
1 STOP
 
7:15 AMDeparting at 7:15 AM
Arrives Nov 10
10:15 AMArriving at 10:15 AM
LAXOrigin Los Angeles, CA, US (LAX)
22HDuration 22 hours
GRUDestination New York/Newark, NJ, US (EWR)
EWRNew York/Newark, NJ, US (EWR)
to
7H, 10M7 hours and 10 minutes
 
 
DetailsSeats
Roundtrip
$2,037
 
 
 
United Economy (U)
Roundtrip
$3,060
 
 
 
Mixed cabin
Roundtrip
$13,470
 
 
 
 
Roundtrip
$17,877
 
 
 
 
Not available
Flight Information
 
1 STOP
 
5:51 AMDeparting at 5:51 AM
Arrives Nov 10
9:30 AMArriving at 9:30 AM
LAXOrigin Los Angeles, CA, US (LAX)
22H, 39MDuration 22 hours and 39 minutes
GRUDestination Houston, TX, US (IAH)
IAHHouston, TX, US (IAH)
to
9H, 32M9 hours and 32 minutes
 
 
DetailsSeats
Roundtrip
$1,485
 
 
 
United Economy (W)
Roundtrip
$2,395
 
 
 
Mixed cabin
Roundtrip
$13,470
 
 
 
 
Roundtrip
$17,273
 
 
3 tickets left at this price
 
Not available
Flight Information
 
1 STOP
 
11:58 PMDeparting at 11:58 PM
Arrives Nov 11
7:15 AMArriving at 7:15 AM
LAXOrigin Los Angeles, CA, US (LAX)
26H, 17MDuration 26 hours and 17 minutes
GRUDestination Chicago, IL, US (ORD)
ORDChicago, IL, US (ORD)
to
12H, 9M12 hours and 9 minutes
 
 
DetailsSeats
Roundtrip
$1,502
 
 
 
United Economy (W)
Roundtrip
$2,239
 
 
 
Mixed cabin
Roundtrip
$13,661
 
 
 
 
Roundtrip
$17,134
 
 
 
 
Not available
Flight Information
 
1 STOP
 
11:09 PMDeparting at 11:09 PM
Arrives Nov 11
7:15 AMArriving at 7:15 AM
LAXOrigin Los Angeles, CA, US (LAX)
27H, 6MDuration 27 hours and 6 minutes
GRUDestination Chicago, IL, US (ORD)
ORDChicago, IL, US (ORD)
to
12H, 45M12 hours and 45 minutes
 
 
DetailsSeats
Roundtrip
$1,502
 
 
 
United Economy (W)
Roundtrip
$2,239
 
 
 
Mixed cabin
Roundtrip
$13,661
 
 
 
 
Roundtrip
$17,441
 
 
5 tickets left at this price
 
 
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I consistently look for fares to places I'm not actively looking to travel right now and higher premium cabin fares are happening most everywhere that I look. You may find better fares on other airlines or flights with connections through other countries. My main destination that I check is the US and those fares are through the roof on Qantas and not much better on United or American. Singapore and Cathay seem to have better deals. I've been checking on Amex travel to get an idea of different fares then looking on the respective airline sites. Obviously my experience from here is not directly relevant to your N/S flights in the Americas.

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I just looked at United for Sydney in January - almost $25,000 in business. 

In the past, I usually paid $5,000 or $6,000 and sometimes less. 

I cannot imagine anyone in his or her right mind paying those kind of fares United is asking.  

I have a trip to Vienna tomorrow.  I bought the ticket two months ago.  The trip is in business and cost around $3,500. 

I looked at the seat map for the flight, only about half of the business class flights are taken.  

I priced a similar ticket for to Vienna for January and the price is around $15,000.

Someone at the airlines had their brain fried to think those kind of fares will attract passengers to fill the aircraft. 

I will be curious to see the seat map on those January flights.  Maybe I am wrong but I cannot see anyone paying those high fares. 

Checking Quantas, the fares are less but still higher than they were last year when I went to Sydney. 

See below rates for Quantas in the screen shot below:

 Los Angeles20:30

Sydney06:35 Sat
20:30
 
06:35 Sat
  • Qantas flightQF18
0 stops
 
src-sprite.pngaircraft_39787 (widebody)src-sprite.pngbeverage_9Premium alcohol & beverages providedsrc-sprite.pngentertainment_20Seatback on-demand videosrc-sprite.pngfresh_food_19Premium meals providedsrc-sprite.pngpower_6Power & USB outletssrc-sprite.pngseat_52Full flat all aisle accesssrc-sprite.pngwifi_135No Wi-Fi
Total duration 15h 05m
Business Flex
$9,994
Business Classic RewardNo seatsYou cannot add this to your flight selection.
Los Angeles22:30
Sydney08:35 Sat
22:30
 
08:35 Sat
  • Qantas flightQF12
0 stops
 
src-sprite.png
Total duration 15h 05m
Business Flex
$9,994
Business Flex
$8,994
 Included bags Yes, Standard seats Not included, Request Points Upgrade Not included,
Los Angeles20:35
Brisbane05:00 Sat
20:35
 
05:00 Sat
  • Qantas flightQF16
0 stops
14h 25m
 
src-sprite.png
Brisbane07:10 Sat
Sydney09:45 Sat
07:10 Sat
 
09:45 Sat
  • Qantas flightQF509
0 stops
1h 35m
 
 
Business Flex
$10,008
Business Classic RewardNo seatsYou cannot add this to your flight selection.
Qantas Points earned None, Status Credits earned None, Changes 5,000 pts, Cancellations 6,000 pts, Included bags Yes, Standard seats Yes, Request Points Upgrade Not included,
Los Angeles20:35
Brisbane05:00 Sat
20:35
 
05:00 Sat
  • Qantas flightQF16
0 stops
14h 25m
 
src-sprite.pngaircraft_5A330 (widebody)src-sprite.pngbeverage_9Premium alcohol & beverages providedsrc-sprite.pngentertainment_20Seatback on-demand videosrc-sprite.pngfresh_food_19Premium meals providedsrc-sprite.pngpower_6Power & USB outletssrc-sprite.pngseat_127Full flat all aisle accesssrc-sprite.pngwifi_135No Wi-Fi
Brisbane07:40 Sat
Sydney10:15 Sat
07:40 Sat
 
10:15 Sat
  • Qantas flightQF511
0 stops
1h 35m
 
src-sprite.pngaircraft_23737 (narrowbody)src-sprite.pngbeverage_16Nonalcoholic beverages providedsrc-sprite.pngentertainment_23On demand entertainmentsrc-sprite.pngfresh_food_25Premium meal providedsrc-sprite.pngpower_3Chance of power & USB outletsrc-sprite.pngseat_69Recliner seat (94 cm)src-sprite.pngwifi_515Netflix streaming capable
Total duration 18h 40m
Business Flex
$10,008
Qantas Points earned 17,350, Status Credits earned 245, Changes Yes, Cancellations Yes, Included bags Yes, Standard seats Yes, Request Points Upgrade Yes,
Business Classic RewardNo seatsYou cannot add this to your flight selection.
Qantas Points earned None, Status Credits earned None, Changes 5,000 pts, Cancellations 6,000 pts, Included bags Yes, Standard seats Yes, Request Points Upgrade Not included,
Los Angeles21:05
Melbourne08:00 Sat
21:05
 
08:00 Sat
  • Qantas flightQF94
0 stops
15h 55m
 
src-sprite.pngaircraft_39787 (widebody)src-sprite.pngbeverage_9Premium alcohol & beverages providedsrc-sprite.pngentertainment_20Seatback on-demand videosrc-sprite.pngfresh_food_19Premium meals providedsrc-sprite.pngpower_6Power & USB outletssrc-sprite.pngseat_52Full flat all aisle accesssrc-sprite.pngwifi_135No Wi-Fi
Melbourne09:30 Sat
Sydney10:55 Sat
09:30 Sat
 
10:55 Sat
  • Qantas flightQF430
0 stops
1h 25m
 
src-sprite.pngaircraft_23737 (narrowbody)src-sprite.pngbeverage_9Premium alcohol & beverages providedsrc-sprite.pngentertainment_23On demand entertainmentsrc-sprite.pngfresh_food_25Premium meal providedsrc-sprite.pngpower_3Chance of power & USB outletsrc-sprite.pngseat_69Recliner seat (94 cm)src-sprite.pngwifi_515Netflix streaming capable
Total duration 18h 50m
Business Flex
$12,148
Price nearly goneQantas Points earned 17,350, Status Credits earned 245, Changes Yes, Cancellations Yes, Included bags Yes, Standard seats Yes, Request Points Upgrade Yes,
Business Classic RewardNo seatsYou cannot add this to your flight selection.
Qantas Points earned None, Status Credits earned None, Changes 5,000 pts, Cancellations 6,000 pts, Included bags Yes, Standard seats Yes, Request Points Upgrade Not included,
Los Angeles20:35
Brisbane05:00 Sat
20:35
 
05:00 Sat
  • Qantas flightQF16
0 stops
14h 25m
 
src-sprite.pngaircraft_5A330 (widebody)src-sprite.pngbeverage_9Premium alcohol & beverages providedsrc-sprite.pngentertainment_20Seatback on-demand videosrc-sprite.pngfresh_food_19Premium meals providedsrc-sprite.pngpower_6Power & USB outletssrc-sprite.pngseat_127Full flat all aisle accesssrc-sprite.pngwifi_135No Wi-Fi
Brisbane08:15 Sat
Sydney10:50 Sat
08:15 Sat
 
10:50 Sat
  • Qantas flightQF513
0 stops
1h 35m
 
src-sprite.pngaircraft_23737 (narrowbody)src-sprite.pngbeverage_16Nonalcoholic beverages providedsrc-sprite.pngentertainment_23On demand entertainmentsrc-sprite.pngfresh_food_25Premium meal providedsrc-sprite.pngpower_3Chance of power & USB outletsrc-sprite.pngseat_69Recliner seat (94 cm)src-sprite.pngwifi_515Netflix streaming capable
Total duration 19h 15m
Business Flex
$10,008
Qantas Points earned 17,350, Status Credits earned 245, Changes Yes, Cancellations Yes, Included bags Yes, Standard seats Yes, Request Points Upgrade Yes,
Business Classic RewardNo seatsYou cannot add this to your flight selection.
Qantas Points earned None, Status Credits earned None, Changes 5,000 pts, Cancellations 6,000 pts, Included bags Yes, Standard seats Yes, Request Points Upgrade Not included,
Los Angeles09:00
Dallas Fort Worth14:04
09:00
 
14:04
  • Qantas Airways flight operated by American AirlinesQF3198
0 stops
3h 04m
Flight QF3198 is operated by American Airlines
 
Dallas Fort Worth21:25
Sydney07:30 Sat
21:25
 
07:30 Sat
  • Qantas flightQF8
0 stops
17h 05m
 
src-sprite.pngaircraft_39787 (widebody)src-sprite.pngbeverage_9Premium alcohol & beverages providedsrc-sprite.pngentertainment_20Seatback on-demand videosrc-sprite.pngfresh_food_19Premium meals providedsrc-sprite.pngpower_6Power & USB outletssrc-sprite.pngseat_52Full flat all aisle accesssrc-sprite.pngwifi_135No Wi-Fi
Total duration 27h 30m
Business Flex
$12,248
Qantas Points earned 17,200, Status Credits earned 220, Changes Yes, Cancellations Yes, Included bags Yes for Qantas operated flights and Yes for Partners operated flights, Standard seats Yes for Qantas operated flights and Not included for Partners operated flights, Request Points Upgrade Yes for Qantas operated flights and Not included for Partners operated flights,
Business Classic RewardNo seatsYou cannot add this to your flight selection.
Qantas Points earned None, Status Credits earned None, Changes 5,000 pts, Cancellations 6,000 pts, Included bags Yes for Qantas operated flights and Yes for Partners operated flights, Standard seats Yes for Qantas operated flights and Not included for Partners operated flights, Request Points Upgrade Not included for Qantas operated flights and Not included for Partners operated flights,
Los Angeles08:00
Dallas Fort Worth12:59
08:00
 
12:59
  • Qantas Airways flight operated by American AirlinesQF4145
0 stops
2h 59m
Flight QF4145 is operated by American Airlines
 
Dallas Fort Worth21:25
Sydney07:30 Sat
21:25
 
07:30 Sat
  • Qantas flightQF8
0 stops
17h 05m
 
src-sprite.pngaircraft_39787 (widebody)src-sprite.pngbeverage_9Premium alcohol & beverages providedsrc-sprite.pngentertainment_20Seatback on-demand videosrc-sprite.pngfresh_food_19Premium meals providedsrc-sprite.pngpower_6Power & USB outletssrc-sprite.pngseat_52Full flat all aisle accesssrc-sprite.pngwifi_135No Wi-Fi
Total duration 28h 30m
Business Flex
$12,248
Qantas Points earned 17,200, Status Credits earned 220, Changes Yes, Cancellations Yes, Included bags Yes for Qantas operated flights and Yes for Partners operated flights, Standard seats Yes for Qantas operated flights and Not included for Partners operated flights, Request Points Upgrade Yes for Qantas operated flights and Not included for Partners operated flights,
Business Classic RewardNo seatsYou cannot add this to your flight selection.
Qantas Points earned None, Status Credits earned None, Changes 5,000 pts, Cancellations 6,000 pts, Included bags Yes for Qantas operated flights and Yes for Partners operated flights, Standard seats Yes for Qantas operated flights and Not included for Partners operated flights, Request Points Upgrade Not included for Qantas operated flights and Not included for Partners operated flights,
Qantas logo
Qantas Airways flight operated by American Airlines
17,200
220
Full fare conditionsBusiness FlexUse the plus sign key to jump to the button to add this flight to the cart.
Qantas logo
Qantas Airways flight operated by American Airlines
5,000 pts
6,000 pts
Full fare conditionsBusiness Classic RewardUse the plus sign key to jump to the button to add this flight to the cart.
 
‡‡ No fees apply where you are entitled to a refund or alternative flight under the Australian Consumer Law, equivalent local law or Conditions of Carriage.
 
 
 
 
 
Business Flex
$12,248
ADD TO TRIP
Los Angeles15:26
Dallas Fort Worth20:25
15:26
 
20:25
  • American Airlines flightAA1331
0 stops
2h 59m
Flight AA1331 is operated by American Airlines
 
Dallas Fort Worth21:25
Sydney07:30 Sat
21:25
 
07:30 Sat
  • Qantas flightQF8
0 stops
17h 05m
 
src-sprite.pngaircraft_39787 (widebody)src-sprite.pngbeverage_9Premium alcohol & beverages providedsrc-sprite.pngentertainment_20Seatback on-demand videosrc-sprite.pngfresh_food_19Premium meals providedsrc-sprite.pngpower_6Power & USB outletssrc-sprite.pngseat_52Full flat all aisle accesssrc-sprite.pngwifi_135No Wi-Fi
Total duration 21h 04m
Business Flex
$12,248
Qantas Points earned 17,200, Status Credits earned 220, Changes Yes, Cancellations Yes, Included bags Yes for Qantas operated flights and Yes for Partners operated flights, Standard seats Yes for Qantas operated flights and Not included for Partners operated flights, Request Points Upgrade Yes for Qantas operated flights and Not included for Partners operated flights,
Business Classic RewardNo seatsYou cannot add this to your flight selection.
Qantas Points earned None, Status Credits earned None, Changes 5,000 pts, Cancellations 6,000 pts, Included bags Yes for Qantas operated flights and Yes for Partners operated flights, Standard seats Yes for Qantas operated flights and Not included for Partners operated flights, Request Points Upgrade Not included for Qantas operated flights and Not included for Partners operated flights,
Ontario (Ontario International)14:41
Dallas Fort Worth19:35
14:41
 
19:35
  • American Airlines flightAA2635
0 stops
2h 54m
Flight AA2635 is operated by American Airlines
 
Dallas Fort Worth21:25
Sydney07:30 Sat
21:25
 
07:30 Sat
  • Qantas flightQF8
0 stops
17h 05m
 
src-sprite.pngaircraft_39787 (widebody)src-sprite.pngbeverage_9Premium alcohol & beverages providedsrc-sprite.pngentertainment_20Seatback on-demand videosrc-sprite.pngfresh_food_19Premium meals providedsrc-sprite.pngpower_6Power & USB outletssrc-sprite.pngseat_52Full flat all aisle accesssrc-sprite.pngwifi_135No Wi-Fi
Total duration 21h 49m
 

 

 

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@coriolis888 I assume those QF fares are USD round trip. [Oops no, they're one way!] Did you do the searches on QF's US site because it's hard to tell with the way the formatting dropped out in the screen shot? [Looks like it was QF's.]

(I did an Amex search for LAX-GRU 10 Nov-24 Nov and a LATAM fare came up for about $6K AUD in Biz via BOS. There were a bunch at similar fares some biz, some mixed (biz+premium Y).)

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6 hours ago, coriolis888 said:

I just looked at United for Sydney in January - almost $25,000 in business. 

In the past, I usually paid $5,000 or $6,000 and sometimes less. 

I cannot imagine anyone in his or her right mind paying those kind of fares United is asking. 

I looked at flights LA/Syd 10-24 Nov on Amex travel and there were flights for around $US10k R/T in J on Philippine Airlines, NZ, Asiana and Fiji, still not cheap but better than QF or UA that you checked. Amazingly Syd/LA fares were available for a little over half that. We usually draw the short straw. I checked SYD-JFK (sometimes about the same as SYD-LAX sometimes more) and Air NZ was a bit more, $AU9.6k with the outbound flight on the new NZ2 non stop from AKL to NY (that was an Amex platinum fare deal, otherwise it would be $AU16k). I'll never see a fare like that when I actually want to travel! I'm now more inclined to take flights with airlines other than my habitual choices when there's such a big fare difference. UA seems not to want your business for your trip to GRU, someone else surely does!

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Try using reputable discounters.  They can be googled by goggling "discount first class/business class fares.  I used the services of one discounter in 2018 when I flew from San Francisco to Barcelona.  

..was quite pleased with what I obtained, and since I cannot fly coach for any long distances, I'll continue to use a discounter.

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I’ve no insights into your particular fare-dilemma @coriolis888 but I think the problem of sharply higher air fares is now widespread. 
 

Airlines want to recoup their pandemic-related losses. They have cut routes and the frequency of flights. Fuel costs are much higher. Those flights that are scheduled are generally departing full. People are keen to travel again. 
 

I think the key is to travel at times that are not very popular. Also I check regularly the routes that interest me, and if I see a “good fare” I book it immediately.

I haven’t yet booked to travel to Australia next year as the fares are so high (and their Summer weather may be very poor with La Niña). I have booked to travel to South Africa later this year; business class at $6000 as there is no First class. I avoided traveling over Xmas and NYE as fares then are 50-60% higher. 

9 hours ago, SirBillybob said:

Put the savings into other trip components. 

Eminently sensible IMHO

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It's really simple guys.

During shutdown, routes were taken away en-masse and flight crews were retired. Airlines still aren't anywhere near where they need to be on both issues and unfortunately, it's not a quick fix. 

Bottom line, this means less flights, fewer seats, packed planes and higher prices. 

Get used to it. It's going to be the new normal until at least first quarter 2023. 

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2 minutes ago, BenjaminNicholas said:

It's really simple guys.

During shutdown, routes were taken away en-masse and flight crews were retired. Airlines still aren't anywhere near where they need to be on both issues and unfortunately, it's not a quick fix. 

Bottom line, this means less flights, fewer seats, packed planes and higher prices. 

Get used to it. It's going to be the new normal until at least first quarter 2023. 

Nailed it. There will still be sweet spots and ways around the high prices on popular routes (e.g. @SirBillybob's Bogotá work around). I see opportunities from here, not many, but they are there, and I hope that they still are when I want to book!!

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1 minute ago, SirBillybob said:

I should add that the Montreal-Bogotá biz is not a fluke. It’s that price all current and 2023 dates. 

To be clear, I wasn't suggesting it was a fluke. The demand on YUL-GRU will be different to YUL-BOG so those fare differences will happen, and once you're in South America, US/CA fare dynamics are irrelevant. It's an example (not always repeatable) that indirect fares can be different to direct ones.

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Guest MikeThomas

… and on top of it all, the Federal government under the Democrats and while Trump was President gave billions of dollars to the airlines with no strings attached and no requirements to repay.  This not only saved the airlines and their employees (a good thing), but also saved the shareholders (a bad thing).  The bank bailouts during the financial crisis were different.  Banks were required to repay.  While shareholders were saved, they were significantly diluted (fair).  The Federal government is now the insurer of last resort for all types of risk… acute weather events, pandemics, financial crises… it’s not sustainable.

The airlines owe their existence to the largesse of the American taxpayer.

I have fond memories of AA domestic first class air travel during the ‘80s.  Shrimp cocktails, hot meals, ice cream sundae carts 😂🍾🍸🥃. Now you’re lucky to get a bag of chips.

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2 hours ago, BenjaminNicholas said:

It's really simple guys.

During shutdown, routes were taken away en-masse and flight crews were retired. Airlines still aren't anywhere near where they need to be on both issues and unfortunately, it's not a quick fix. 

Bottom line, this means less flights, fewer seats, packed planes and higher prices. 

Get used to it. It's going to be the new normal until at least first quarter 2023. 

On many routes you are correct and your reasoning is sound.

However, United's flights to Brazil have not stopped as did many other destinations.  UA's flights leave from Dallas, Miami, Newark and Houston.  They go every day of the week.

I just looked into getting my January trip.  United wants more than $17,000.00 for business class while some flights they want in excess of $8,000.00.

I went through a dummy booking so that I could see the seating chart for the flights I wanted.

In all of business class on the two flights I checked, only two seats on each flight were assigned or ticketed .

That is not a good showing for United with its inflated prices for future flights.

I think someone at United's management (and some other airlines) is doing too much wishful thinking if they believe passengers are going to pay out eight to more than seventeen thousand dollars for a seat. 

I predict some heavy duty flight sales or special promotions on the horizon.

Edited by coriolis888
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Guest MikeThomas

Just booked LHR/ORD on June 11 AA Business Class (it’s 2 class service) for approx $2,100.  Full fare is $9,000+.  Did it through my Cunard travel agent.  I was worried.

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6 hours ago, MikeThomas said:

… and on top of it all, the Federal government under the Democrats and while Trump was President gave billions of dollars to the airlines with no strings attached and no requirements to repay.  This not only saved the airlines and their employees (a good thing), but also saved the shareholders (a bad thing).  The bank bailouts during the financial crisis were different.  Banks were required to repay.  While shareholders were saved, they were significantly diluted (fair).  The Federal government is now the insurer of last resort for all types of risk… acute weather events, pandemics, financial crises… it’s not sustainable.

The airlines owe their existence to the largesse of the American taxpayer.

I have fond memories of AA domestic first class air travel during the ‘80s.  Shrimp cocktails, hot meals, ice cream sundae carts 😂🍾🍸🥃. Now you’re lucky to get a bag of chips.

This is somewhat true, but not the whole story.

Many airlines are now leveraging their frequent flier programs in order to repay the government.  This from AA:

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-american-airline-debt/american-airlines-unveils-7-5-billion-debt-sale-to-repay-government-loans-idUSKBN2B01AR

So, yes, some airlines are paying back.  And good on them for making the attempt.

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4 hours ago, coriolis888 said:

On many routes you are correct and your reasoning is sound.

However, United's flights to Brazil have not stopped as did many other destinations.  UA's flights leave from Dallas, Miami, Newark and Houston.  They go every day of the week.

I just looked into getting my January trip.  United wants more than $17,000.00 for business class while some flights they want in excess of $8,000.00.

I went through a dummy booking so that I could see the seating chart for the flights I wanted.

In all of business class on the two flights I checked, only two seats on each flight were assigned or ticketed .

That is not a good showing for United with its inflated prices for future flights.

I think someone at United's management (and some other airlines) is doing too much wishful thinking if they believe passengers are going to pay out eight to more than seventeen thousand dollars for a seat. 

I predict some heavy duty flight sales or special promotions on the horizon.

First, you can never trust an airline's seating map to give you an idea about current sell-through.

There are tons of holdbacks and only a site like Expert Flyer can really give you a full picture of how full a cabin is at any given point based on fare class, oversells, etc.

Airline pricing has always been dynamic.  While a traditional 'sale' is possible, what you'll probably see is fare taking a dip if the algorithm senses seats not selling.  It's still several months out.  

If this were 30 days out, I'd agree with you on outlook.  Give it time.

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Guest MikeThomas
27 minutes ago, BenjaminNicholas said:

This is somewhat true, but not the whole story.

Many airlines are now leveraging their frequent flier programs in order to repay the government.  This from AA:

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-american-airline-debt/american-airlines-unveils-7-5-billion-debt-sale-to-repay-government-loans-idUSKBN2B01AR

So, yes, some airlines are paying back.  And good on them for making the attempt.

The day before fare was $1,800.  I am crossing from NYC to Southampton on the Queen Mary 2.  Cunard gets great airfares if you travel with them.

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  • 2 weeks later...

I travel a lot for years and have deep understanding of airline pricing algorithms and the mechanics air pricing of it as a geeky self interest . Depending on the length of the flight ( usually on flights above 8 hours or more ) I usually travel premium cabin .  it became a side hobby like solving a riddle 

- If you are spending that much you should get a premium ( aka luxury ) travel agent who specializes in those kinds of tickets . A corp travel agent will work well also . My personal knowledge tends to equal these folks but I use one mainly for access to their booking tools which are not available to the consumer .

- Brazil is wide open and covid is largely over . Back when covid was raging in brazil and people were scared i went anyway , after I got vaccinated. In those days it was possible to get Business class for less than 2k from the states , those days are over. accept it . 

- the cheap ( when I say cheap most people regard business class travel as a luxury ) so i will say relatively cheap tickets have an advance purchase requirement of 90 days sometimes , so you should really think about booking these 120 days before  

- there is a lot of pent up demand also, so there are places where the airlines are not even releasing discount seats on any day ( i’m thinking australia) because the airlines are looking to manage their capacity and maximize their revenue after two years of heavy losses 

I have always wondered if anyone else was a geeky as me when it comes to this . 

 

 

 

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  • 4 weeks later...
Return on Jan 29, 2023
Economy
Premium Economy
Business
Business(fully refundable)
First
Flight details section.
Seats details section.
Flight Information
 
1 STOP
 
10:15 PMDeparting at 10:15 PM
Arrives Jan 30
9:25 AMArriving at 9:25 AM
GRUOrigin São Paulo, SP, BR (GRU)
16H, 10MDuration 16 hours and 10 minutes
LAXDestination Houston, TX, US (IAH)
IAHHouston, TX, US (IAH)
to
2H, 15M2 hours and 15 minutes
 
 
DetailsSeats
Roundtrip
$10,627
 
 
 
United Economy (S)
Roundtrip
$10,992
 
 
 
Mixed cabin
Roundtrip
$12,673
 
 
 
 
Roundtrip
$18,017
 
 
 
 
Not available
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2 minutes ago, coriolis888 said:
Return on Jan 29, 2023
Economy
Premium Economy
Business
Business(fully refundable)
First
Flight details section.
Seats details section.
Flight Information
 
1 STOP
 
10:15 PM Departing at 10:15 PM
Arrives Jan 30
9:25 AMArriving at 9:25 AM
GRU Origin São Paulo, SP, BR (GRU)
16H, 10MDuration 16 hours and 10 minutes
LAX Destination Houston, TX, US (IAH)
IAH Houston, TX, US (IAH)
to
2H, 15M2 hours and 15 minutes
 
 
Details Seats
Roundtrip
$10,627
 
 
 
United Economy (S)
Roundtrip
$10,992
 
 
 
Mixed cabin
Roundtrip
$12,673
 
 
 
 
Roundtrip
$18,017
 
 
Another 
 

Another example of the airfares between the U.S. and Brazil. 

Look at the above schedule I got for the days I plan my Brazil trip in January. 

Who in his right mind would pay eighteen thousand dollars for a round trip flight from Los Angeles to Sao Paulo in Business Class?

Worse though, who in his right mind would pay $10,627 for the same flight in couch.  Sitting up all night in a tiny seat.  

Something bizarre is happening with the prices for air tickets.  

Of course, shopping around on different dates will yield a somewhat smaller price but the price will still be outrageous.  

I just happened to pick the days I plan to return to Brazil.  $18,017 does not included taxes nor does it include internet/wifi on the plane.

The strange thing is the flights are full.  

 

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11 hours ago, coriolis888 said:

Another example of the airfares between the U.S. and Brazil. 

Look at the above schedule I got for the days I plan my Brazil trip in January. 

Who in his right mind would pay eighteen thousand dollars for a round trip flight from Los Angeles to Sao Paulo in Business Class?

Worse though, who in his right mind would pay $10,627 for the same flight in couch.  Sitting up all night in a tiny seat.  

Something bizarre is happening with the prices for air tickets.  

Of course, shopping around on different dates will yield a somewhat smaller price but the price will still be outrageous.  

I just happened to pick the days I plan to return to Brazil.  $18,017 does not included taxes nor does it include internet/wifi on the plane.

The strange thing is the flights are full.  

 

It's not strange if people are paying it and pax loads remain full.

Supply and demand.  That's the nature of the airline business.

The price that shocks you is perfectly normal for someone else.

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thanks very much, @SirBillybob , for your comments on this alternative way to Brazil.....yes, for these relatively short flights, I wouldn't sleep much and don't need all the bells and whistles......only negative I'm finding is the only BOG-GIG flight is overnight and I'd arrive half-dead....a lie-flat seat (if even available) would help, but I don't want to only sleep for four/five-ish hours.....I see more flights offered from BOG-GRU at more civilized hours!......could be a way for me to see Sao Paulo for the first time and check off Colombia, too!

Edited by azdr0710
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